Forecasts that can't be faked
- Every day's forecasts are now stamped into the Bitcoin blockchain before the outcome. Check them on the ledger.
- The Brier score is on the front page: how much better our chances did than history.
- Old forecasts no longer disappear: each one stays on the index until its own date, misses in red.
- Your call: put your own chance against the model's and get graded the same way.